Future #3 – Resilient Landscapes

Real Change is Possible

* Dept. of Education required the ecological benefits of fire to be part of the science core curriculum K – 12. * Universities added requirement to their undergraduate core curriculum that required credits in an environmental awareness or ecosystem management course that recognized fire’s role and benefits across our landscapes. * Corporations have adopted landscapes by funding and promoting positive ecological benefits ...more »

Submitted by (@iadtthmifm)

Voting

0 votes
Active

Future #1: Hot, Dry, and Out of Control

We're here already

Our current trend carries us to this future. Indeed, we are already here in many respects. No additional events or shocks are needed, especially if the current political gridlock continues. The main things I see that would be different is the shear number of species listed under the Endangered Species Act due to major vegetation changes brought by climate change and human population growth. I would not be surprised ...more »

Submitted by (@lulu10)

Voting

0 votes
Active

Future #4 – Radical Change

Tribal Management of Federal Lands

Tribes possess thousands of years of truly adaptive management as demonstrated on their lands. Fire was taken away as their primary tool about 150 years ago, yet they have adapted and continue to do so. Tools like timber harvest have been adapted to provide some of the effects that fire once provided. Tribes continue to adapt and provide some of the best examples of resilient landscapes.

Submitted by (@jim.erickson)

Voting

3 votes
Active

Future #2 – Super Fire Administration

Super Administration

A dysfunctional system of government that is divided along too many moral, economic and political agendas does not provide for a logical, systematic system of covering resource and fire management. The current system leads to chaos and inefficiency in dealing with the situation. This process continues to exacerbate the problem of escalating suppression which then leads to the development of more fire fighters at the ...more »

Submitted by (@jim.erickson)

Voting

3 votes
Active

Future #3 – Resilient Landscapes

Adaptive Management

The lack of active management of our federal resources has led to continued overstocked stands with excessive rule loadings. This has exacerbated the problem due to loss of forest infrastructure as a cost effective means of addressing the issue while providing economic and employment opportunities for rural communities

Submitted by (@jim.erickson)

Voting

2 votes
Active

Future #1: Hot, Dry, and Out of Control

Global Climate Shift, Fuels, and Humans

The trend has been a gradual shift or multiple variables gradually changing over time, but the climate and what we view in our surroundings work like a balanced beam. Everything in the natural world is a balance that is counteracted by something else. Because humans are such powerful and advanced organisms we are able to change that balance more drastically than any other organism. Once the balance starts to go one direction ...more »

Submitted by (@wmccrady)

Voting

0 votes
Active

Future #2 – Super Fire Administration

Are these really the correct assumptions for Future #2?

If the scenario calls for a future super firefighting organization due to increasing wildfires and intense pressure to suppress to protect lives and communities. this does not necessarily imply a declining focus by the federal government on land management. Maybe it leads to an increasing role by states, tribes, communities, non-governmental organizations and private industry to increase their role in managing landscapes, ...more »

Submitted by (@gamlam1107)

Voting

1 vote
Active

Future #3 – Resilient Landscapes

"Climate Change"

A 25 year drought cycle started in 1996. If this cycle continues as predicted, a 25 year "wet cycle" should start in 2021. This in itself will result in fewer "mega-fires". What this means for fire agencies is, the time to take advantage of current "teachable moments" from the historical fires of 2011 will start diminishing. As the climate starts to abate during the anticipated "wet cycle", it will become increasingly ...more »

Submitted by (@lmcneely)

Voting

1 vote
Active

Future #4 – Radical Change

Technological firefighting

Unmanned Aircraft Systems have taken over the skies. Cloud networks and 24/7 webcams and data collection even in remote areas has become the norm. Americans are increasingly tech-savyy and less physically fit or willing to engage in physical labor. As Americans live more in climate-controlled internal environments, and business is also more technologically dirven, outdoor recreation and humans steeping foot on public ...more »

Submitted by (@karenmiranda)

Voting

1 vote
Active

Future #1: Hot, Dry, and Out of Control

NPS WHIS Fire Management Officer (FMO)

At this point, this "Future Situation" is already a present day reality. There is no good scientific argument against Global Warming, no matter what the causal factors. We are already starting to experience lengthening fire seasons, warming global temperatures and increasingly unprecedented drought conditions. Despite advances in technology and process we in the wildland fire service continue to battle increasingly ...more »

Submitted by (@tomgarcia)

Voting

1 vote
Active