Future #4 – Radical Change

Imagine it is the year 2034. Reflect on how we got to the future described below. To participate, select “Give Input to Future(s).” (Note: When answering the questions, please imagine and envision ‘how could we get here?’ We want to understand the series of events that could lead to that future.)

FUTURE STATE: Radical new technologies and markets have created dramatic opportunities for the wildland fire management community. Despite a lower budget, the community has been able to prioritize the funds that it does have to achieve a sustainable landscape and significantly decreased public health impacts.

  • Required:What trends, events, or shocks (i.e. unexpected occurrences with major implications) could drive us to this future?
  • Optional:What changes to strategy, organizational structure, capabilities, and infrastructure would be necessary to address the future we are facing?

Campaign: Future #4 – Radical Change

Technological firefighting

Unmanned Aircraft Systems have taken over the skies. Cloud networks and 24/7 webcams and data collection even in remote areas has become the norm. Americans are increasingly tech-savyy and less physically fit or willing to engage in physical labor. As Americans live more in climate-controlled internal environments, and business is also more technologically dirven, outdoor recreation and humans steeping foot on public ...more »

Submitted by (@karenmiranda)

What changes to strategy, organizational structure, capabilities, & infrastructure would be needed? :

- need to hire more techno-geeks, and physical fitness/training will not be important

- fire suppression will be managed largely by UAS from indoor environments

- will decrease field and localized resource management positions in favor of larger-scale experts in managing watersheds and landscape resources, most likely combined with city planning type skills

- A new education/profession would need to develop which combines natural and technological resource management.


1 vote

Campaign: Future #4 – Radical Change

Tribal Management of Federal Lands

Tribes possess thousands of years of truly adaptive management as demonstrated on their lands. Fire was taken away as their primary tool about 150 years ago, yet they have adapted and continue to do so. Tools like timber harvest have been adapted to provide some of the effects that fire once provided. Tribes continue to adapt and provide some of the best examples of resilient landscapes.

Submitted by (@jim.erickson)

What changes to strategy, organizational structure, capabilities, & infrastructure would be needed? :

Congress should pass legislation providing Tribes and states with the authority to assume local management of Forest Service and BLM lands over extended time frames to demonstrate spun, sustainable ecosystem management.


3 votes